Power Rankings 2007 Week 16

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities).

Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	10.9184
2	IND	10.6703
3	DAL	10.4441
4	TB	9.8023
5	JAX	9.6747
6	PIT	9.4925
7	MIN	9.1715
8	PHI	9.1059
9	GB	9.0902
10	SD	8.9651
11	WAS	8.8545
12	SEA	8.4820
13	NYG	8.3811
14	TEN	8.1760
15	DEN	7.9775
16	HOU	7.8321
17	CLE	7.6168
18	CIN	7.4845
19	NO	7.3679
20	DET	7.3406
21	CAR	7.3120
22	BUF	7.2980
23	ARI	7.1704
24	ATL	7.0634
25	BAL	6.9607
26	STL	6.5877
27	CHI	6.5075
28	KC	6.4352
29	NYJ	6.3864
30	MIA	6.2834
31	SF	5.7132
32	OAK	5.4341

Power Rankings, Unadjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	10.9108
2	IND	10.4595
3	DAL	10.3775
4	TB	9.9997
5	MIN	9.8078
6	PIT	9.7576
7	JAX	9.6016
8	GB	9.3454
9	SEA	8.9187
10	SD	8.8611
11	PHI	8.7189
12	WAS	8.5318
13	NYG	8.4430
14	DEN	8.2738
15	TEN	8.2570
16	CLE	8.0482
17	CIN	7.8102
18	HOU	7.6528
19	ARI	7.6204
20	NO	7.2802
21	DET	7.2723
22	CAR	7.0987
23	BAL	7.0671
24	BUF	6.9034
25	ATL	6.8773
26	STL	6.6190
27	NYJ	6.2978
28	KC	6.2621
29	CHI	5.9982
30	MIA	5.9183
31	SF	5.6119
32	OAK	5.3978