Power Rankings 2007 Week 14

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities).

Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	10.9917
2	DAL	10.8534
3	IND	10.6660
4	PIT	9.9950
5	TB	9.9396
6	GB	9.6261
7	MIN	9.4555
8	JAX	9.1018
9	PHI	8.8448
10	SD	8.5902
11	SEA	8.5582
12	NYG	8.4449
13	WAS	8.3827
14	DEN	8.3703
15	TEN	8.2756
16	DET	7.8931
17	BUF	7.7278
18	CLE	7.6245
19	CIN	7.5566
20	ARI	7.5225
21	HOU	7.3846
22	NO	7.1999
23	BAL	7.0026
24	CAR	6.8037
25	ATL	6.6809
26	CHI	6.4073
27	KC	6.2831
28	MIA	6.2465
29	NYJ	6.2225
30	STL	6.1820
31	OAK	5.6712
32	SF	5.4952

Power Rankings, Unadjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	DAL	10.7944
2	NE	10.7207
3	IND	10.4349
4	PIT	10.3109
5	TB	10.0348
6	MIN	9.9974
7	GB	9.6121
8	SEA	9.0437
9	JAX	8.9223
10	DEN	8.7471
11	SD	8.4706
12	PHI	8.4676
13	NYG	8.4518
14	TEN	8.1530
15	WAS	8.1198
16	CLE	7.8871
17	ARI	7.8171
18	CIN	7.6125
19	HOU	7.5984
20	DET	7.5810
21	BUF	7.3879
22	NO	7.2593
23	BAL	7.0096
24	CAR	6.9199
25	ATL	6.7258
26	STL	6.4545
27	NYJ	6.2821
28	KC	6.0006
29	CHI	5.9061
30	MIA	5.9046
31	OAK	5.8811
32	SF	5.4911