Power Rankings 2007 Week 13

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities).

Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	DAL	11.2079
2	NE	10.8186
3	IND	10.3761
4	TB	9.9500
5	PIT	9.8970
6	MIN	9.5840
7	GB	9.4376
8	PHI	8.8882
9	SD	8.6438
10	JAX	8.6307
11	NYG	8.5136
12	SEA	8.4706
13	WAS	8.3979
14	TEN	8.2366
15	DEN	7.7704
16	CLE	7.7464
17	ARI	7.6760
18	CIN	7.4911
19	DET	7.3911
20	HOU	7.3772
21	BUF	7.3031
22	BAL	7.1272
23	CAR	7.0606
24	ATL	7.0049
25	NO	6.9037
26	MIA	6.8243
27	KC	6.6999
28	CHI	6.4554
29	STL	6.4279
30	NYJ	6.2846
31	OAK	5.8642
32	SF	5.5392

Power Rankings, Unadjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	DAL	11.1339
2	NE	10.8625
3	PIT	10.6398
4	IND	10.1367
5	TB	10.1171
6	MIN	9.8523
7	GB	9.1847
8	SEA	8.9511
9	PHI	8.5295
10	SD	8.5163
11	JAX	8.5104
12	NYG	8.4719
13	TEN	8.2418
14	ARI	8.0126
15	DEN	7.9752
16	WAS	7.9187
17	HOU	7.6785
18	CLE	7.6648
19	BAL	7.4479
20	DET	7.4054
21	CAR	7.3351
22	CIN	7.2654
23	ATL	6.9836
24	NO	6.8303
25	BUF	6.6862
26	KC	6.6477
27	STL	6.6255
28	MIA	6.3597
29	NYJ	6.2952
30	OAK	6.2507
31	CHI	5.9139
32	SF	5.5559