Power Rankings 2007 Week 15

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities).

Power Rankings, Unadjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	10.7795
2	DAL	10.5095
3	IND	10.4331
4	MIN	10.1635
5	TB	10.0476
6	PIT	9.8106
7	GB	9.4977
8	JAX	9.0800
9	SEA	8.8732
10	SD	8.7411
11	PHI	8.5580
12	DEN	8.4992
13	WAS	8.3256
14	TEN	8.2315
15	NYG	8.1936
16	CLE	8.1169
17	HOU	7.8518
18	CIN	7.6882
19	ARI	7.6803
20	NO	7.4573
21	DET	7.2631
22	BUF	7.1796
23	BAL	7.1213
24	CAR	7.1122
25	ATL	6.7046
26	STL	6.6001
27	NYJ	6.2123
28	KC	6.0553
29	MIA	6.0417
30	OAK	5.8586
31	CHI	5.7423
32	SF	5.5710

Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	10.9732
2	IND	10.6267
3	DAL	10.5591
4	TB	9.9386
5	PIT	9.6408
6	MIN	9.4450
7	JAX	9.4199
8	GB	9.3922
9	PHI	8.9921
10	SD	8.8438
11	WAS	8.5297
12	SEA	8.3678
13	TEN	8.2583
14	NYG	8.1932
15	DEN	8.1181
16	HOU	7.8097
17	CLE	7.7665
18	DET	7.5346
19	BUF	7.4797
20	NO	7.4048
21	CIN	7.3765
22	ARI	7.3366
23	CAR	7.1503
24	BAL	6.9467
25	ATL	6.8989
26	STL	6.4431
27	KC	6.3914
28	NYJ	6.2920
29	CHI	6.2671
30	MIA	6.2115
31	OAK	5.8398
32	SF	5.5523