Power Rankings 2007 Week 9

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities).

After making a huge comeback to #6, San Diego drops down to the middle of the pack. And somehow Dallas vaulted over New England and Indianapolis to take the #1 spot. Minnesota and the Giants are surprisingly strong despite spotty QB play.

Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	DAL	11.6828
2	NE	11.5958
3	IND	11.3737
4	PIT	10.2007
5	TB	10.0710
6	MIN	9.4761
7	NYG	9.0151
8	TEN	8.9846
9	GB	8.6627
10	WAS	8.5938
11	PHI	8.5899
12	SEA	8.5218
13	JAX	8.2240
14	CLE	7.7882
15	SD	7.7499
16	DET	7.7243
17	MIA	7.7148
18	CAR	7.6460
19	ARI	7.5698
20	DEN	7.3299
21	HOU	7.2592
22	BUF	7.2020
23	ATL	7.1826
24	CIN	7.0208
25	NO	7.0126
26	KC	6.6185
27	BAL	6.6078
28	CHI	6.2554
29	STL	5.9045
30	OAK	5.7940
31	NYJ	5.4532
32	SF	5.1744