Power Rankings 2007 Week 12

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities).

Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	11.2441
2	DAL	11.1332
3	IND	10.6209
4	PIT	9.9642
5	TB	9.9244
6	GB	9.3945
7	MIN	9.3234
8	PHI	9.0560
9	WAS	8.8586
10	NYG	8.7037
11	SEA	8.4958
12	SD	8.4589
13	JAX	8.3526
14	TEN	8.1060
15	DEN	8.0833
16	CLE	7.7783
17	DET	7.6137
18	ARI	7.6130
19	MIA	7.6014
20	HOU	7.5289
21	CIN	7.2008
22	ATL	7.1665
23	NO	6.9120
24	KC	6.9006
25	CAR	6.8935
26	BUF	6.8154
27	BAL	6.5092
28	CHI	6.4680
29	STL	6.2714
30	NYJ	5.7587
31	SF	5.6797
32	OAK	5.5694

Power Rankings, Unadjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	11.3002
2	DAL	11.2019
3	PIT	10.7758
4	IND	10.3835
5	TB	9.9057
6	MIN	9.4825
7	GB	9.4620
8	SEA	9.0465
9	PHI	8.5803
10	JAX	8.4789
11	NYG	8.4063
12	WAS	8.2131
13	SD	8.1418
14	DEN	8.1411
15	TEN	8.0375
16	ARI	7.9962
17	DET	7.9144
18	HOU	7.8943
19	CLE	7.6587
20	CIN	7.2868
21	BAL	7.2055
22	NO	7.1142
23	ATL	7.0253
24	KC	6.9362
25	CAR	6.9291
26	MIA	6.8095
27	STL	6.3635
28	BUF	6.2475
29	OAK	5.9599
30	CHI	5.8376
31	SF	5.7099
32	NYJ	5.5542