Week 3 Predictions

The predictions are based on yards per play on rushing and passing plays (sacks and sack yards included), sack rates, third down conversion rates, penalty yards per game, and fumble and interception rates. The models are trained on the 1996-2006 seasons. Linear regression predicts the final score margin (home team points - away team points). Logistic regression estimates the probability that the home team will win.

Game	Predicted Final Score Margin	P(Home Team Wins)
BUF @ NE	21.8529	95.4819
MIA @ NYJ	0.2227	54.6927
ARI @ BAL	-1.1325	51.1005
SF @ PIT	14.1197	87.2559
IND @ HOU	3.3611	58.3286
JAX @ DEN	14.4308	85.0911
MIN @ KC	1.1924	53.7913
CLE @ OAK	2.4606	48.9627
DET @ PHI	3.1926	61.5361
NYG @ WAS	10.2739	78.4863
DAL @ CHI	-5.2192	32.4093
SD @ GB	4.5756	69.4519
CAR @ ATL	-4.7731	30.4124
TEN @ NO	-10.0608	19.3533
STL @ TB	4.0617	67.3059
CIN @ SEA	4.1900	62.2327