Week 2 Predictions with a Disclaimer

These predictions are based on 1 week's worth of games. Beware small sample sizes. Starting with week 3, I'll actually start keeping track of prediction accuracy.

The predictions are based on yards per play on rushing and passing plays (sacks and sack yards included), sack rates, third down conversion rates, penalty yards per game, and fumble and interception rates. The models are trained on the 1996-2006 seasons. Linear regression predicts the final score margin (home team points - away team points). Logistic regression estimates the probability that the home team will win.

Game	Predicted Final Score Margin	P(Home Team Wins)
DAL @ MIA	-6.8773	22.1666
SD @ NE	11.6771	85.9734
NYJ @ BAL	11.0012	84.6408
CIN @ CLE	-11.4775	17.3932
BUF @ PIT	22.4741	96.1492
ATL @ JAX	13.8954	89.1606
IND @ TEN	-11.9978	13.3683
OAK @ DEN	20.0984	94.0643
GB @ NYG	-1.5944	41.7966
WAS @ PHI	3.5971	65.7232
KC @ CHI	12.6279	84.1841
MIN @ DET	7.1627	65.7160
HOU @ CAR	-1.5862	52.4188
NO @ TB	8.1777	76.1006
SEA @ ARI	-3.0413	38.3299
SF @ STL	-5.8659	30.6135