Tuesday, October 30, 2007

Power Rankings 2007 Week 8

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities).

San Diego is making a huge comeback to #6 after being bottom of the barrel to start. The Saints are climbing upwards from dead last towards mediocrity.



































Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
RankTeamExpected Wins
1NE11.5856
2IND11.5305
3DAL11.0685
4TB10.0434
5PIT9.6449
6SD8.9480
7TEN8.8901
8NYG8.8737
9WAS8.8413
10PHI8.6632
11SEA8.6215
12JAX8.6040
13GB8.4589
14MIN8.3500
15CIN7.9932
16DEN7.8561
17CLE7.7744
18ARI7.6103
19MIA7.5862
20CAR7.3970
21DET7.3160
22HOU7.2904
23BAL6.9235
24KC6.9199
25NO6.8708
26ATL6.7046
27BUF6.6202
28CHI6.1950
29OAK6.1287
30STL6.0256
31NYJ5.4028
32SF5.2618

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