Tuesday, October 2, 2007

Projected Final Standings 2007 Week 4

Using the projected win probabilities from the logistic regression power rankings, I estimated which games each team would win on the rest of their respective schedules. And then I summed the projected wins with the actual wins so far to get their projected win totals. The teams are sorted by division.


Using opponent-adjusted stats


















































Projected Final Standings
TeamProjected Win Total
AFC East
BUF2
MIA6
NE13
NYJ3
AFC North
BAL9
CIN8
CLE7
PIT11
AFC South
HOU11
IND16
JAX9
TEN9
AFC West
DEN13
KC7
OAK5
SD2
NFC East
DAL14
NYG12
PHI9
WAS8
NFC North
CHI2
DET7
GB12
MIN9
NFC South
ATL6
CAR5
NO1
TB13
NFC West
ARI10
STL0
SF4
SEA13


Using unadjusted stats

















































Projected Final Standings
TeamProjected Win Total
AFC East
BUF1
MIA6
NE15
NYJ2
AFC North
BAL8
CIN7
CLE8
PIT13
AFC South
HOU8
IND15
JAX8
TEN9
AFC West
DEN12
KC9
OAK6
SD2
NFC East
DAL16
NYG9
PHI8
WAS8
NFC North
CHI2
DET9
GB11
MIN10
NFC South
ATL5
CAR6
NO0
TB14
NFC West
ARI11
STL1
SF4
SEA13

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