Power Rankings 2007 Week 7

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities). Adjusted and unadjusted rankings included.

Power Rankings, Logistic Regression
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	IND	11.4905
2	NE	11.0967
3	DAL	11.0366
4	TB	9.7785
5	PIT	9.5315
6	WAS	9.3918
7	NYG	9.1441
8	TEN	9.0731
9	JAX	8.7938
10	SD	8.7205
11	SEA	8.4443
12	PHI	8.4076
13	MIN	8.4011
14	GB	8.3821
15	DEN	8.2858
16	ARI	7.9302
17	CIN	7.8663
18	CLE	7.7844
19	HOU	7.6298
20	MIA	7.3475
21	CAR	7.2920
22	DET	7.2118
23	KC	7.0735
24	BAL	6.8962
25	ATL	6.8204
26	NO	6.5023
27	CHI	6.2434
28	BUF	6.1996
29	STL	6.0449
30	OAK	5.9200
31	NYJ	5.6766
32	SF	5.5834

Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	IND	11.4905
2	NE	11.0967
3	DAL	11.0366
4	TB	9.7785
5	PIT	9.5315
6	WAS	9.3918
7	NYG	9.1441
8	TEN	9.0731
9	JAX	8.7938
10	SD	8.7205
11	SEA	8.4443
12	PHI	8.4076
13	MIN	8.4011
14	GB	8.3821
15	DEN	8.2858
16	ARI	7.9302
17	CIN	7.8663
18	CLE	7.7844
19	HOU	7.6298
20	MIA	7.3475
21	CAR	7.2920
22	DET	7.2118
23	KC	7.0735
24	BAL	6.8962
25	ATL	6.8204
26	NO	6.5023
27	CHI	6.2434
28	BUF	6.1996
29	STL	6.0449
30	OAK	5.9200
31	NYJ	5.6766
32	SF	5.5834

Power Rankings, Unadjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	11.4613
2	IND	11.1798
3	DAL	11.0478
4	PIT	10.6005
5	TB	9.6857
6	WAS	9.3622
7	NYG	9.2132
8	PHI	9.0649
9	SD	9.0305
10	SEA	8.8872
11	MIN	8.6806
12	TEN	8.6470
13	JAX	8.4937
14	BAL	8.3515
15	CAR	8.2901
16	GB	8.0074
17	DEN	7.9614
18	ARI	7.8753
19	DET	7.6292
20	KC	7.6011
21	CIN	7.5983
22	CLE	7.5684
23	HOU	7.4236
24	ATL	6.7335
25	MIA	6.4393
26	OAK	6.2238
27	STL	5.7106
28	NO	5.6194
29	NYJ	5.4792
30	SF	5.4567
31	CHI	5.4103
32	BUF	5.2663