Power Rankings 2007 Week 6

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities). Adjusted and unadjusted rankings included.


Using adjusted stats

Power Rankings, Logistic Regression
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	IND	11.1290
2	NE	11.0792
3	DAL	10.7311
4	TB	10.0030
5	WAS	9.8468
6	NYG	9.6412
7	PIT	9.5458
8	JAX	9.2684
9	PHI	9.0883
10	TEN	9.0834
11	SD	8.5522
12	GB	8.4900
13	MIN	8.2463
14	SEA	8.1399
15	HOU	7.9821
16	CLE	7.8416
17	DEN	7.8045
18	ATL	7.6147
19	MIA	7.5847
20	CIN	7.5143
21	ARI	7.4882
22	CAR	7.2857
23	KC	7.2053
24	BAL	7.1100
25	DET	6.6432
26	STL	6.1356
27	BUF	6.1048
28	NO	6.0207
29	CHI	5.9590
30	NYJ	5.7973
31	OAK	5.6081
32	SF	5.4557

Using unadjusted stats

Power Rankings, Logistic Regression
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	11.3883
2	DAL	11.2170
3	IND	11.0017
4	PIT	10.9324
5	TB	10.0555
6	WAS	9.6780
7	JAX	9.5635
8	MIN	9.2922
9	PHI	9.2515
10	NYG	9.0960
11	SD	9.0145
12	SEA	8.5387
13	BAL	8.3563
14	TEN	8.3339
15	CAR	8.2877
16	DEN	8.0485
17	GB	8.0058
18	ARI	7.7705
19	HOU	7.6323
20	CLE	7.5779
21	KC	7.4160
22	DET	7.3518
23	MIA	7.1062
24	CIN	6.9493
25	ATL	6.7962
26	OAK	5.8485
27	STL	5.7550
28	NYJ	5.6024
29	SF	5.2688
30	CHI	5.0450
31	BUF	4.9765
32	NO	4.8422