Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Projected Final Standings 2007 Week 6

Using the projected win probabilities from the logistic regression power rankings, I estimated which games each team would win on the rest of their respective schedules. And then I summed the projected wins with the actual wins so far to get their projected win totals. The teams are sorted by division. For the record, New England's only projected loss is on the road to Indianapolis. If you look at the stats page for week 6, you'll see the major reason likely has to do with the perceived disparity in rush offense.


Using opponent-adjusted stats


















































Projected Final Standings
TeamProjected Win Total
AFC East
BUF4
MIA4
NE15
NYJ3
AFC North
BAL6
CIN7
CLE9
PIT14
AFC South
HOU7
IND16
JAX10
TEN9
AFC West
DEN8
KC8
OAK4
SD8
NFC East
DAL13
NYG12
PHI8
WAS10
NFC North
CHI4
DET5
GB12
MIN8
NFC South
ATL6
CAR8
NO3
TB14
NFC West
ARI8
STL0
SF4
SEA9

No comments: