Tuesday, October 9, 2007

Projected Final Standings 2007 Week 5

Using the projected win probabilities from the logistic regression power rankings, I estimated which games each team would win on the rest of their respective schedules. And then I summed the projected wins with the actual wins so far to get their projected win totals. The teams are sorted by division.


Using opponent-adjusted stats


















































Projected Final Standings
TeamProjected Win Total
AFC East
BUF3
MIA6
NE13
NYJ3
AFC North
BAL6
CIN8
CLE9
PIT13
AFC South
HOU9
IND16
JAX9
TEN9
AFC West
DEN7
KC8
OAK6
SD7
NFC East
DAL13
NYG12
PHI9
WAS10
NFC North
CHI4
DET5
GB11
MIN9
NFC South
ATL6
CAR5
NO1
TB13
NFC West
ARI10
STL0
SF4
SEA12


Using unadjusted stats

















































Projected Final Standings
TeamProjected Win Total
AFC East
BUF2
MIA6
NE14
NYJ4
AFC North
BAL7
CIN6
CLE6
PIT14
AFC South
HOU8
IND16
JAX9
TEN9
AFC West
DEN7
KC8
OAK7
SD7
NFC East
DAL16
NYG10
PHI8
WAS9
NFC North
CHI3
DET7
GB10
MIN9
NFC South
ATL5
CAR6
NO0
TB14
NFC West
ARI11
STL1
SF4
SEA13

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