Power Rankings 2007 Week 17

The power rankings for this site were developed in this article. The idea behind them is simple: if each team played one home game and one away game against every other team in the league, who would be the most successful?

The power rankings use logistic regression to predict the probability of winning. The score you see along with the rankings is the expected win total over a 16-game season based on the expected winning percentages over the 62 games (i.e. the sum of those probabilities).

Power Rankings, Opponent-adjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	10.5759
2	IND	10.3170
3	DAL	10.1534
4	PIT	9.8614
5	TB	9.5910
6	JAX	9.5862
7	GB	9.2658
8	WAS	9.1119
9	MIN	9.1075
10	PHI	9.0675
11	SD	8.7100
12	NYG	8.6673
13	TEN	8.4478
14	SEA	8.3719
15	DEN	8.2001
16	HOU	7.9178
17	CLE	7.7195
18	CIN	7.5846
19	CAR	7.4754
20	ARI	7.3438
21	BUF	7.2895
22	NO	7.2215
23	ATL	7.1775
24	DET	7.1663
25	BAL	6.7068
26	NYJ	6.6356
27	CHI	6.5820
28	STL	6.4483
29	KC	6.2941
30	MIA	6.1462
31	SF	5.6674
32	OAK	5.5888

Power Rankings, Unadjusted
Rank	Team	Expected Wins
1	NE	10.5837
2	PIT	10.2658
3	IND	10.1597
4	DAL	10.0700
5	TB	9.8437
6	MIN	9.6704
7	GB	9.5724
8	JAX	9.5190
9	SEA	8.8647
10	SD	8.8134
11	PHI	8.7488
12	WAS	8.7349
13	NYG	8.5790
14	TEN	8.4120
15	DEN	8.2860
16	CLE	8.2273
17	CIN	7.9928
18	ARI	7.8841
19	HOU	7.6742
20	NO	7.3013
21	CAR	7.1811
22	DET	7.0157
23	ATL	6.9466
24	BUF	6.8609
25	NYJ	6.6046
26	BAL	6.5961
27	STL	6.4422
28	KC	6.1708
29	CHI	6.1171
30	MIA	5.7952
31	OAK	5.5368
32	SF	5.5296