Win Probabilities 2007 - Wild Card
| Home Team | Away Team | P(Home Team Won) (%) | Final Score Margin |
| PIT | JAX | 71.8961 | -2 |
| SEA | WAS | 77.9485 | 21 |
| TB | NYG | 10.7964 | -10 |
| SD | TEN | 90.3689 | 11 |
Teams that "should have" won but didn't
Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. Jaguars), Win Prob = 71.8961% Pittsburgh was more efficient passing (6.2 yards per pass vs. 4.2) and on 3rd downs. Despite the fact that Pittsburgh threw 3 picks and gave up a fumble, they ran 20 more plays overall, weighing down their turnover rates compared to the Jags' 2 picks on 25 pass plays.
No comments:
Post a Comment