Sunday, January 6, 2008

Win Probabilities 2007 - Wild Card

Home TeamAway TeamP(Home Team Won) (%)Final Score Margin

Teams that "should have" won but didn't
Pittsburgh Steelers (vs. Jaguars), Win Prob = 71.8961% Pittsburgh was more efficient passing (6.2 yards per pass vs. 4.2) and on 3rd downs. Despite the fact that Pittsburgh threw 3 picks and gave up a fumble, they ran 20 more plays overall, weighing down their turnover rates compared to the Jags' 2 picks on 25 pass plays.

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