tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-881050816100887731.post1426115871545578022..comments2024-01-18T02:56:26.751-08:00Comments on Football Prediction Network: An Idea for Estimating Future PerformanceDerekhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17941314072950152029noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-881050816100887731.post-48729966134749713242007-08-17T14:30:00.000-07:002007-08-17T14:30:00.000-07:00Derek, what kind of neural network software do you...Derek, what kind of neural network software do you use? Someone suggested Tiberius to me, and I've been using the trial version with some success.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-881050816100887731.post-35343848292766810892007-08-10T20:32:00.000-07:002007-08-10T20:32:00.000-07:00I have never attempted Markov chain models before,...I have never attempted Markov chain models before, but I know they are very appropriate for baseball. <BR/><BR/>From your second paragraph, it sounded more like you were going for a Bayesian approach. Each team would have its own distribution of yard expectancies as a prior. Every subsequent data point would refine the expectancy. But that's seriously high-powered stuff.Brian Burkehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12371470711365236987noreply@blogger.com